DEJA VU ALL OVER AGAIN

$400 Pot Limit Omaha Hi/Lo at PartyPoker. Lots of loose money in the game and I am playing tight waiting for that magical hand. I'm sitting at $366 when the magic happens:

Dudeseeg is dealt (Ad, 2s, 7c, As).

There is a $4 call, which I call, the next player bumps it to $22. Small blind calls the $20 additional, big blind folds, and the original caller calls the $18 additional.

This is ideal - the next player to enter the pot after me put in a pot-sized raise, which lured plenty of callers. The pot is now $74 and I'm sitting on aces with the acey/deucey in a hi/lo game. I raise $110 additional hoping to win it without a showdown or to get all my money in against the kings just as I did the other night.

The big raiser guy bumps it $368 additional, which puts me all-in with my remaining $252. As I intimated the other day, I am not timid about putting all my chips in the middle with the best hand, and there is little doubt that I am the favorite at this point.

Here's what he shows: (Kh, 4c, Kc, 3s).

Wow, he should have folded once I tipped my hand that I held aces. I guess he didn't believe me. His low is not great, so he's banking on his kings to carry the day. He also has a club flush draw, but not the nut flush draw. Overall, an extremely questionable play that is sure to lose money in the long run.

I have since run this hand through an Omaha odds calculator and here is where I stand at this point in the action: I have a 67% chance of finishing with the best high hand, a 39% chance of taking down the low with a 46% chance of no qualifying low hand, which means the high hand scoops the whole pot.

The flop is [7d, Tc, 8c].

I paired my 7 which doesn't matter much at all. More importantly, he missed his king and failed to pair one of his low cards. He did pick up a flush draw, which is unfortuneate for me since that is his best chance for hitting the winning high hand. I am still 2:1 to take down the lion's share of the pot. Even if he hits the 3, 4, 5, or 6 of clubs, I will at least salvage half the pot with the nut low.

The turn: [7s].

Not only did I dodge the club, but I tripped my sevens, which removes the A and 2 of clubs as outs for my opponent since those cards would give me a full house. There is still no qualifying low, so the river will decide that half of the pot. I am now running 80% to take high, and 87% to get at least half the pot. The only cards in the deck I fear are Ks, Kd, Qc, Jc, 9c. Every other card gives me a much-deserved scoop or at least a chop.

The river: [9c].

I'm sure you saw that coming.